Mars Impact Probability Increases to 4 Percent
The impact probability for a collision of asteroid 2007 WD5 with Mars on January 30 has increased from 1.3% to 3.9%.
Pre-discovery observations of asteroid 2007 WD5, taken on November 8, 2007 have allowed its orbit to be refined and the uncertainties for the late January Mars encounter have been improved.
The impact probability resulting from the recent orbit refinement has increased to a surprising 3.9% (about 1 in 25 odds).
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